Posts

Post-Election Campaign Narrative Welcome to my post-election campaign narrative blog post! In this blog post, we will be exploring Maryland’s 6th Congressional District. After intense judicial drama dealing with the legislative district boundaries, Maryland’s 6th district became instantly one of the most competitive in the country.

== Post-Election Reflection on Model == Hello everyone! After such an incredible campaign and midterm season, we are finally, finally over. However, our discussion of the 2022 midterms is far from over!

Finally, the prediction Hello everyone! My name is Ethan Kelly & as of writing this piece, I am a sophomore living in Leverett House, studying Government & Computer Science. In this final blog post, we will be exploring the 2022 midterm elections & my model for the congressional elections.

== Final Blog Post Before Midterm Prediction == This blog post will be the final one held before the Midterm Elections. We are in quite an exciting time as we enter into November 2022 – my next blog post will ultimately be my final prediction.

Introduction Throughout the 21st Century, turnout across the United States has fluctuated significantly. For the sake of this blog post, voter turnout is described as the % of the amount of voters vs.

Expert predictions have been around in election analytics for decades. Predictions of election results have become a new market for various news agencies & websites to gain fame and popularity over correct predictions.

Throughout the 21st Century, political punditry and forecasing has been paramount to understanding our national, political environment. Forecasters have used a variety of methods to pinpoint and predict the outcome of future elections.

Welcome to my Election Analytics Blog! This is the first installement of a multi-part blog series over the course of the Fall 2022 Semester in Gov 1347 taught by Professor Ryan Enos. This blog is focused on political gerrymandering, looking at comparisons of statewide popular vote share & statewide seat allocation for both the Democrats and Republicans. The results show apparant results of political gerrymandering across the country, though none of it is unexpected, it is still disappointing.

Question/Blog Extension we are going to be going through: Heterogenous Predictive Power of the Economy. Does the effect of the economy vary when we consider popular vote versus seat share as our outcome (dependent) variable?